CCMC CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2025-07-21T03:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2025-07-21T03:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/40172/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible to the southeast in SOHO LASCO C2/C3, GOES CCOR-1, and STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is likely related to an eruption and dimming centered near S28E05 starting around 2025-07-21T03:00Z as seen in SDO AIA 131, 171, 193, 304 imagery. Post eruptive arcades begin to form around 2025-07-21T04:30Z. The arrival of this CME was not clearly seen at L1.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2025-07-25T04:30Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 5.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 5.0
Prediction Method: Median of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: 13.55 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-07-24T14:57Z
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